davidsf
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Post by davidsf on Dec 19, 2019 8:48:39 GMT -8
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Jan 10, 2020 8:30:58 GMT -8
This polling is interesting because the real movement started in 2018, the year the Democrats took Congress. SO is it Trump's economy or the lack of progress or what the Democrat's in Congress have preached, put forth or even more likely not got done. These are fairly "sharp" movements. Trump won the election with lesser numbers considering themselves leaning "conservative". Should this hold or strengthen he should be a shoe in come November. POLITICS JANUARY 9, 2020 The U.S. Remained Center-Right, Ideologically, in 2019news.gallup.com/poll/275792/remained-center-right-ideologically-2019.aspx The 2019 findings are based on combined data from 21 Gallup telephone surveys conducted throughout the year, encompassing over 29,000 interviews with U.S. adults. The percentage identifying as conservative in 2019 was up two points from the 35% measured in 2018, while the percentage liberal was down two points from 26%. While these changes are statistically significant, some two-point changes in the past were short-lived, so it will be important to see whether these trends continue in 2020. |
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MDDad
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Post by MDDad on Jan 10, 2020 8:41:29 GMT -8
Unfortunately, the results of polls conducted on the basis of people "self-identifying" as one thing or another are always dubious, and they inject yet another element of uncertainty and subjective bias into the results. If you asked a thousand guys how many see themselves as good athletes, or how many see themselves as better looking than Brad Pitt, the results would be much higher than real-life proof would indicate.
I'm sure some of the conservative posters on this forum may self-identify as moderate, while some of the whacked-out Sanders and Warren dudes on TOB would do the same.
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Bick
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Post by Bick on Jan 10, 2020 8:43:29 GMT -8
Given the amount of negative press conservatives get, this is remarkable.
Reading Twitter, I'd have assumed the opposite was true.
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Credo
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Post by Credo on Jan 29, 2020 20:42:41 GMT -8
A new Gallup poll tracked the changes in attitudes of Americans since the end of the Obama-Biden administration. The poll showed that Americans think the economy is better (+22), the country is more secure (+18), wealth distribution is better (+9), and race relations are improved (+14).
The above #'s are a big plus for Trump, but lots of interesting data all around in this Gallup survey.
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Jan 30, 2020 11:12:34 GMT -8
More interesting data today, any wonder why the TRUMP rallies pack 'em in! AP-NORC poll: GOP more fired up for 2020, Democrats anxious
apnews.com/4daf1b154eeff75b97b886e2fe8c1d29When it comes to the 2020 presidential election, Democrats are nervous wrecks and Republican excitement has grown. That’s according to a new poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research as Americans look ahead to a high-stakes election that is 10 months away but still very much top of mind. While emotions could change in the coming months, the findings give Democrats one more worry to add to the list: Will anxiety or enthusiasm be a bigger motivator come November? On the verge of the first votes being cast in a primary contest with no clear leader, 66% of Democrats report anxiety about the election, compared with 46% of Republicans. Democrats are also more likely to feel frustration. Republicans, meanwhile, are more likely than Democrats to declare excitement about the race, and the share of enthusiastic Republicans appears to be rising. |
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Jan 30, 2020 17:20:15 GMT -8
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Jan 31, 2020 18:34:33 GMT -8
Booooooo -------- Yaaaaaaah !!
Trump's approval among blacks hits 42%!
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Feb 2, 2020 22:11:30 GMT -8
Think about it, the guy has been maligned by the press from day one and has been under attack with the motive of impeachment from day one and he is still #Winning Voters who 'strongly' approve of Trump at new high as impeachment nears end, poll finds
www.yahoo.com/news/voters-strongly-approve-trump-high-173907238.html
"Even as support for impeachment is steady/increasing, Trump's approval rating is up to some of its highest levels of his presidency," said Nate Silver, the editor-in-chief of polling site FiveThirtyEight.
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Feb 4, 2020 13:18:26 GMT -8
The SKY must be falling in a lot of LIBERAL CIRCLES today... SOTU up next....   Should get another bump after tonight....... |
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Feb 8, 2020 6:50:21 GMT -8
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Bick
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Post by Bick on Feb 8, 2020 6:56:04 GMT -8
I guess they've run out of Jim Jones kool-aid.
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davidsf
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Post by davidsf on Feb 8, 2020 7:53:52 GMT -8
What I notice, first, are the two built in biases: - They only polled democrats;
- They only polled New Hampshire
even democrats realize the odds are very high Trump will win re-election and, at the same time, believe the odds of a Meteor strike extinguishing all life on earth very remote, to the extent of impossible or, at least incredibly improbable. Given a choice between Trump winning (the very thought of which democrats hate) and a highly improbable event, OF COURSE they will select the improbable event.
further, regardless of how they break down those sub-groups, democrats in New Hampshire are very likely to self-identify their political leaning very differently than most of the rest of the nation. By that, I mean, a Democrat in New Hampshire who is staunchly liberal (such as, for example, Parrot Paul, who does hail from that section of the country, though not NH, specifically) will not self identify as liberal, but more likely as a moderate. Same for those who self-identify as “conservative” will bear little resemblance to true conservatives, especially in the democrat party.
so, I wonder why UMass would even undertake such a worthless study, at all.
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Feb 12, 2020 9:54:52 GMT -8
Well Gallup did a study and in historic perspective this is yet another STELLAR number for the president, 6 in 10 Americans say they are better off now than three years ago: Gallup
thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/482714-six-in-ten-americans-say-they-are-better-off-than-three-years
A majority of Americans in a new poll say they are better off now than they were three years ago.
Just more than 6 in 10 Americans, 61 percent, told Gallup pollsters that they are decidedly in better shape than they were shortly after President Trump took office in 2017, a sign of a recovering U.S. economy.
But then look at these numbers, are Democrats living in the same country? Or are they just proportionally dishonest, because by most economic indicators WE ARE BETTER OFF! So what are they missing? Their handouts and welfare checks didn't get enough of a raise? Americans in the new survey were largely split by party over their opinion of their economic prospects: 89 percent of Republicans said that they are better off, while just 29 percent of Democrats agreed. Sixty percent of independents said that they are definitely better off now than three years ago.
As long as Independents read at 61%, the same percent which is the average across all ideology, Trump is in the driver seat. As they say, as go the Independents.... |
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Feb 17, 2020 7:07:42 GMT -8
As you can see by the thread, I'm fairly interested in polling and polls....., this particular one this morning really caught my eye. Polls tend to move up and down often sideways, what I usually look for is trends. Looking at this news today, it will be real interesting to see if most POLLSTERS change up their polling skew as most use a formula in which MORE Democrats are polled than Republicans based on the belief that there are simply more Dems than Pubs in our demographics. You will often hear many conservative pundits claim one must add 3-5% to any poll as they are "sampled" with a majority that leans/registered liberal. Yet today we have this, not often has the REPUBLICAN PARTY out registered the DEMOCRAT PARTY, if the numbskulls in the DNC can not see know the likes of SCHIFF and PELOSI, the Gang of 3 radicals in Congress, etc., are running them off a cliff they will find themselves in a complete WIPEOUT come November. POLITICS: More Americans Now Identify as Republicans Than They Do As DemocratsThe change in party registration is a major development in national politics.
 More Americans now identify as Republicans than they do as Democrats, according to new polling regarding party affiliation conducted by Gallup.According to the polling, conducted on January 16th-19th, 30% of American identify as Republicans. 27% identify as Democrats. The largest category consists of independents, who form 42% of registered voters. Independents have consistently made up the largest category of American voters for decades.The development represents a rarity in American politics, as generally Democrats have a numerical advantage in terms of party registration throughout recent political history. The last two times that more Americans were registered as Republicans than they were as Democrats was in May 2016 and December 2011, an It should be especially concerning for Democrats that they’re losing their registration advantage to Republicans in the midst of a competitive Democratic Presidential primary. One would think that flocks of voters would rush to register as Democrats in order to cast votes in the primary, but if anything is occurring, it seems to be the opposite.It’s possible controversial proposals to open the borders and confiscate firearms could be driving Americans to abandon their Democratic Party registration. Polling reveals that the percentage of registered Democrats has declined four percentage points from 31% to 27% since November.Independents also state that they lean more to the GOP than they do to the Democratic Party, by a handsome lead of 48% to 44%.
~
These numbers are coming out of GALLUP, not a fly by night polling organization nor one that usually has been favorable to Republicans....
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