MDDad
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Post by MDDad on Sept 15, 2021 8:43:58 GMT -8
Picking games for the week ain't that hard. This week for example you could use:
Servite -27 1/2 at Sierra Canyon
Los Alamitos -14 1/2 at Santa Margarita
Mission Viejo at Alemany -1/2
San Clemente at Edison -3 1/2
Villa Park -2 1/2 at Valencia
Yorba Linda -12 1/2 at Chino Hills
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thefrog
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Post by thefrog on Sept 15, 2021 8:56:41 GMT -8
Picking games for the week ain't that hard. This week for example you could use: Servite -27 1/2 at Sierra Canyon Los Alamitos -14 1/2 at Santa Margarita Mission Viejo at Alemany -1/2 San Clemente at Edison -3 1/2 Villa Park -2 1/2 at Valencia Yorba Linda -12 1/2 at Chino Hills Some of us don’t gamble. |
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Sept 15, 2021 9:11:38 GMT -8
No way new thread every week will muck up the high school section! Maybe Bick can PIN my (our) rules at the top and title it "PLAYA POOL RULES". And there r not really that many rules, it was really just try and pick one sunset and one south coast league and avoid 35+ point spreads..... if you want to drop both or one weigh in.... get rid of league was real a suggestion to keep OC peeps interested, but the point spreads seem logical, what knowledge is in a 50 point spread? Its will or will not the coach call off the dogs..... or who calls "running clock" quickest... thats not sport!
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Sept 15, 2021 9:14:19 GMT -8
Picking games for the week ain't that hard. This week for example you could use: Servite -27 1/2 at Sierra Canyon Los Alamitos -14 1/2 at Santa Margarita Mission Viejo at Alemany -1/2 San Clemente at Edison -3 1/2 Villa Park -2 1/2 at Valencia Yorba Linda -12 1/2 at Chino Hills Not a bad line-up...... I think the spreads moved anyway from what SixthMan posted, the projections were not updated is my guess..... MDDad, so you in?! Step right up, I think we would welcome new playa just one point behind last place..... which right now isn't much! |
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Bick
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Post by Bick on Sept 15, 2021 10:49:56 GMT -8
Picking games for the week ain't that hard. This week for example you could use: Servite -27 1/2 at Sierra Canyon Los Alamitos -14 1/2 at Santa Margarita Mission Viejo at Alemany -1/2 San Clemente at Edison -3 1/2 Villa Park -2 1/2 at Valencia Yorba Linda -12 1/2 at Chino Hills Your calculator might need new batteries... CALPREPS.COM Your source for high school football scores, standings & rankings PROJECT A MATCHUP neutral field [2021] Los Alamitos (CA) 31, [2021] Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita, CA) 28 |
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Sept 15, 2021 11:38:31 GMT -8
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MDDad
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Post by MDDad on Sept 15, 2021 12:22:14 GMT -8
Picking games for the week ain't that hard. This week for example you could use: Servite -27 1/2 at Sierra Canyon Los Alamitos -14 1/2 at Santa Margarita Mission Viejo at Alemany -1/2 San Clemente at Edison -3 1/2 Villa Park -2 1/2 at Valencia Yorba Linda -12 1/2 at Chino Hills Your calculator might need new batteries... CALPREPS.COM Your source for high school football scores, standings & rankings PROJECT A MATCHUP neutral field [2021] Los Alamitos (CA) 31, [2021] Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita, CA) 28Calculator's fine. I used the difference in the schools' power ratings, which in my experience has been more accurate more often than their "Project A Matchup" equation. |
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Sept 15, 2021 13:13:42 GMT -8
you would think they would be somewhat one and the same..... yet not.... that said, we are using project a match-up which must be doing very well as we are mostly all around .500 or even which is what vegas aims for...... only difference here I am not collecting the juice!
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MDDad
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Post by MDDad on Sept 15, 2021 13:22:12 GMT -8
Use whatever you like, I have no dog in this fight.
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Bick
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Post by Bick on Sept 15, 2021 14:35:39 GMT -8
Are you just using the difference in power rating? You'd make yourself a 22 point favorite over Bosco? Seems like they agree with you somewhat. Interesting idea...
neutral field
[2021] Mater Dei (Santa Ana, CA) 31, [2021] St. John Bosco (Bellflower, CA) 3
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Sept 15, 2021 15:37:15 GMT -8
Whatever the methodology, I think both have merit, however one is an actual predicted score giving a spread, the other using one factor of deduction of one rating from another to project a spread, so that is not really a "score". Not to say over time it could be as valid. I've made up my own as well..... ha!
That said, we started the season going off "project a match-up and will continue to do so.
With that, are we going with 6Man games as selected? Should we have him in the least replace the two that are over the 35 point spread rule which makes the most sense, if he does not chime in by later tonight I will pick one from my suggested/example list and one from MDDads even though he isn't a playa...., he does understand the game a bit
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Sept 15, 2021 16:24:53 GMT -8
Calculator's fine. I used the difference in the schools' power ratings, which in my experience has been more accurate more often than their "Project A Matchup" equation. Here is that current equation.... ""Projection" ratings are used on this screen, as opposed to the standard ratings seen on this site. They are very much like the other ratings seen on this site, except that recent results are weighted more heavily and the "politically correct" moderately-low cutoff point at which margin of victory is no longer counted is eliminated.
Historical ratings of the teams (including head-to-head history) are a very small factor in projections. In other words, predicting future outcomes and acknowledging to-date success are not the same thing. Given that two different systems are used, yes, the results will be different in some cases. You do not need to try to contact us every time you see Team A rated above Team B, but Team B predicted to beat Team A in a hypothetical or real game. It happens." |
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Sept 16, 2021 5:49:31 GMT -8
OK PLAYA's, here are this weeks selections, two games replaced that exceeded 35 point rule.
Thursday
Marina @ HB -30 1/2
Friday
Mission Viejo @ Alemany -5 1/2
Villa Park @ Valencia -1 1/2
SC @ Edison -7
Servite -33 1/2 @ Sierra Canyon
CHECK YOUR PICKS AS TWO GAMES HAVE BEEN REPLACED & THE SPREADS OF TWO OTHERS CORRECTED per CALPREPS
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thefrog
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Post by thefrog on Sept 16, 2021 6:53:00 GMT -8
Thursday
Marina
Friday
Alemany -5 1/2
Villa Park
Edison -7
Servite -33 1/2
POW: villa park
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Bick
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Post by Bick on Sept 16, 2021 8:22:22 GMT -8
Marina
MV
VP
SC
Sierra - POW
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