RSM789
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Post by RSM789 on Jan 31, 2020 13:31:05 GMT -8
I don’t understand how you can draw the conclusion that such statistics are useless. Without statistics, how would you determine who the best QB’s are? Brady has been a winner his entire career whereas Belichik was a losing head coach at Cleveland and has only won when Brady has played for him. That sounds like a pretty germane statistic to me. When Belichick was at Cleveland, his starting QB was Vinnie Testaverde, a player with talent but who has the lowest winning percentage of any NFL QB with at least 70 victories. At Cleveland, Belichick never had a QB that could win. At New England, you are comparing Brady's winning percentage against 2nd string QB's, and concluding that makes Brady more valuable than Belichick. Wrong, it makes Brady more valuable than a 2nd string QB. It doesn't show that Belichick can't win without Brady, for Brady is the only QB he has ever coached for at least an entire season who was capable of being a winning QB. Had Belichick ever had someone like Joe Flacco or Phillip Rivers at QB, or if Brady had ever played a couple of years elsewhere, then those stats you list would have some value. Instead, the historical circumstances make them useless. Switch Phillip Rivers and Tom Brady and you tell me which is easier to imagine - a Brady led Chargers team winning multiple Super Bowls in the 2000's & 2010's or the Patriots with Rivers basically accomplishing everything they have in the past 20 years. You know it is the latter, Brady, while skilled and an upper level quarterback, does not have the once in a generation skill set that makes him the GOAT. He is a good QB who landed at the right team with the right coach at the right time. Had Brady gone to Cleveland or Detroit, he probably would have washed out of the league in 4 or 5 years.
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Luca
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Post by Luca on Jan 31, 2020 14:20:50 GMT -8
At Cleveland, Belichick never had a QB that could win. ........ It doesn't show that Belichick can't win without Brady, for Brady is the only QB he has ever coached for at least an entire season who was capable of being a winning QB. I should point out that - more than simply winning - some teams have made it to the Super Bowl with equal or lesser QBs than Testaverde. I don't follow your reasoning. You make the assumption that Tom Brady was only a winner because he played for Belichick. You could as easily conclude the contrary, that Belichick could only win when he had an elite quarterback like Tom Brady. In fact there is more evidence for that scenario, since Belichick is sub .500 in all the games he has coached without Tom Brady at QB. I never said or implied that Brady was more valuable than Belichick. I said that you need both an elite coach and QB to dominate for over a decade. Actually, I’m only responding to your supposition that this player - who is the winningest QB in NFL history, has thrown for 75,000 yards, has the most Pro Bowl selections, is the leader in passing yards and touchdowns with a single team, was the NFL MVP 3 times, won more Super Bowls that any other player and is thought by many to be the best QB ever - does not even qualify as an "elite" athlete. You have made a number of observations that are, to be kind, unfounded. We cannot reach a conclusion debating opinions. It's like arguing about what’s the best color. But even if statistics can lie, they are at least objective. And Gisele seems happy enough.........................................Luca
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RSM789
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Post by RSM789 on Jan 31, 2020 18:16:58 GMT -8
At Cleveland, Belichick never had a QB that could win. ........ It doesn't show that Belichick can't win without Brady, for Brady is the only QB he has ever coached for at least an entire season who was capable of being a winning QB. ... You make the assumption that Tom Brady was only a winner because he played for Belichick.... ... Actually, I’m only responding to your supposition that this player...does not even qualify as an "elite" athlete. ...We cannot reach a conclusion debating opinions... No, that is not my assumption. Brady would be a winning QB on nearly any team he played for, short of the dumpster fire ones. His career would probably be one like Ben Roestheberger or Russell Wilson if he had played for Pittsburgh or Seattle as examples . Instead, he was fortunate to be part of the Patriots as Belichick was given the reins of the Patriots organization and he (Brady) was able to span two periods of time where the Patriots won 3 titles in less than 5 years. If Brady were 5 years older or 5 years younger, he would have missed one of those 2 runs and had 3 titles instead of 6. During the conversations, there were two suppositions. The first was mine that Brady is not an elite athlete and the 2nd that Brady is the GOAT. Brady is a professional athlete in that he can throw a football better than 99% of the human population, but I would not consider that one skill to be the full measure of an athlete. Brady could never really run, can't jump, can't catch (based on the Super bowl against Philly), his elite skills are throwing a ball and reading defenses. Now those are the skills needed to be a winning QB and I have never said he wasn't that. But an Elite athlete is someone like Michael Jordan, someone whose elite skills are not limited to one or two specialized functions. I might concede that Brady is an elite QB, if by elite we mean the top 50 in NFL history (out of the nearly 800 or so who have played that position) As for Brady being the GOAT, it is so easy to imagine dozens of other players in his place doing what he did. Whether you go to the past and grab Joe Montana, Dan Fouts or Jim Kelly or use more present day QB's like Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers, they all would have had the success Brady had if they were Belichicks QB from 2001 to 2019. Now, reality is that only Brady was and he took advantage of what he was given, but can you really argue against the supposition that if Drew Brees had been on the Patriots from that time period, people would be calling him the GOAT? I know we can't reach a conclusion debating opinions, this is the digital version of a bar room conversation. These opinions I give can't be proven, they are all supposition, but they are based in reason. Your position doesn't gain more credibility because of the statistics you introduced because the conclusion you were trying to draw from them was not causal. i respect your opinion & see how you reached it, I just have a different one and don't mind comparing them.
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Feb 1, 2020 7:57:59 GMT -8
Your assumption that numerous QB's could simply be swapped and the results the same is ludicrous speculation. There are FAR TOO MANY other factors. I suppose your whole hearted purpose of this thread was to set out on SUPER BOWL week to prove some how Tom Brady is ""overrated"? Surprisingly you didn't add he actually is not in this Super Bowl as evidence! Personal opine aside, you certainly can lay claim, have your fave, make valid points and arguments. However, when its all hashed, over and over, by most, TOM BRADY is usually placed on top. Here is a REAL GOOD analytical and opinion piece from Elliott Harrison and Jack Andrade of NFL.COM. These guys are among the best at what they do here.... www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001035041/article/top-25-quarterbacks-of-all-time-patriots-tom-brady-leads-listHere is a very good piece from ESPN with some of the all time great coaches in the game....... www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/20096209/nfl-coaches-execs-rank-best-quarterbacks-modern-era-2017And I will leave you with this, a project ESPN has worked for decades, updating info, stats, opines yearly..., just released for 2020.... Brady over Montana? Choosing the NFL's greatest ever at each position www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/27321515/tom-brady-joe-montana-choosing-nfl-greatest-ever-positionAs the NFL's 100th season is set to begin, we start the ultimate debate: Who would be a part of the all-time best starting lineup? That means a player for every position on the field and special teams.
Sounds simple enough, right?
Or nearly impossible.
To put the task another way, a longtime NFL coach I've known for more than 20 years said: "Are you f---ing nuts?"
Knowing there aren't any totally right answers but separating 100 years of Hall of Famers and elevating the truly elite takes some work.
Honestly, this is a project more than 30 years in the making. The research includes surveying more than 250 people through those years, including players, coaches, scouts, general managers, Hall of Famers and Hall of Fame voters.
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Bick
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Post by Bick on Feb 1, 2020 8:12:14 GMT -8
I think the most important skill a QB needs to possess is leadership. The absence of it sank guys like Jeff George.
Hard to argue with the results from Brady.
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MDDad
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Post by MDDad on Feb 1, 2020 9:47:41 GMT -8
What the hell, I'll bite. QB - Peyton Manning (backup Tom Brady, although if I were RSM, I could have put Byron Leftwich, Chad Pennington, Marc Bulger, Ryan Tannehill or RG III in this spot and gotten the same results) RB - Walter Payton and Jim Brown (backups Barry Sanders and Emmitt Smith) WR - Jerry Rice and Marvin Harrison (backups Randy Moss and Terrell Owens) TE - Tony Gonzalez (backup Antonio Gates) OT - Anthony Munoz and Forrest Gregg (backups Willie Roaf and Gary Zimmerman) OG - Bruce Matthews and Randall McDaniel (backups John Hannah and Alan Faneca) C - Mike Webster (backup Dermontti Dawson) DE - Reggie White and Bruce Smith (backups Michael Strahan and Jack Youngblood or Carl Eller) DT - Alan Page and Bob Lilly (backups Randy White and Warren Sapp) OLB - Lawrence Taylor and Derrick Brooks (backups Jack Ham and Junior Seau) ILB - Ray Lewis and Mike Singletary (backups Jack Lambert and Brian Urlacher) CB - Rod Woodson and Deion Sanders (backups Charles Woodson and Champ Bailey) S - Ronnie Lott and Ed Reed (backups Willie Wood and Larry Wilson)
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Feb 1, 2020 10:51:10 GMT -8
Like Brady, Manning was and still is to me one of the best line of scrimmage QB's ever. So kudos on your pick MDDad yet knowing you thought you would go Y.A. Tittle Me personally, I kinda always liked the blue collar grit guys, Favre, Stabler and Plunkett. Yet when this debate always rages...., I still come down to this thought, like in the NBA when there are 5 seconds on the clock in a 1 point game that you just took the lead in, however on the other team is with MJ or KOBE, statistics say in your favor, yet looking across the court at either one of those two, you, your team mates and fans all know you are f8cked. Same goes my analogy for football, and I have witnessed more than any other, games, playoffs, championships or Superbowls, it's Q4 and under a minute to go, you score take the lead, exuberance for a moment, right before reality hits and you look at the clock, one minute and Brady has the ball. Um were likely f12cked. In this regard Manning and Brady stand above, Brady however has done it much longer over his career and add the 6 rings, GOAT.
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MDDad
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Post by MDDad on Feb 1, 2020 11:30:37 GMT -8
After making that list, I tried to determine who, in my mind, was the greatest player on the list. For me, I think it's Jerry Rice.
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MDDad
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Post by MDDad on Feb 1, 2020 13:04:00 GMT -8
Why do you change what I wrote & then demand I produce evidence of said change? That is such a Wabash move. QB's by draft year that could have been put in Brady's place & given the Patriots the same result:
2000 - Chad Pennington, Marc Bulger 2001 - Michael Vick, Drew Brees 2003 - Carson Palmer, Tony Romo, Byron Leftwich 2004 - Eli Manning, Phillip Rives, Ben Roethesberger, Matt Schaub 2005 - Alex Smith, Aaron Rodgers 2006 - Jay Cutler 2008 - Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco 2009 - Mathew Stafford 2011 - Cam Newton 2012 - Andrew Luck, RG III, Ryan Tannehill, Russel Wilson, Nick Foles, Kirk CousinsThere's 24 and we didn't even have to use the last 7 years or QB's such as Drew Bledsoe or Peyton Manning who got started in the late 1990's. First, let me start by saying I'm not a Tom Brady fan. I've had a soft spot in my heart for the Baltimore/Indianapolis Colts since the days of Johnny Unitas, and I'm a big fan of Peyton Manning. I don't like Tom Brady because he's crushed my soul too many times. With that said, RSM, I don't think you believe a word of what you wrote above and I highlighted in red. If you do, you're virtually the only person on the planet that believes some of those journeymen could have produced the same results as Brady. Some of them not only couldn't carry his jock, they couldn't find it with a map and a flashlight. I think it's far more likely that you're either pulling all our legs, or you have an ax to grind with Brady. Brady has won six Super Bowls. 16 guys on your list have not won any, and another six have won one. Brady has been first-team all-pro three times. 20 of your 24 guys have never sniffed all-pro status. Brady has played in 14 pro bowls. 11 of your guys have played in two or fewer. Seven of your guys have played in fewer than nine seasons (Luck, Cousins, Bulger, Foles, Griffin, Wilson and Tannehill). So how could they have produced the same results as Brady and led the Patriots to nine super bowls? And when might Michael Vick have produced nine super bowls? Between his suspensions and dog fights? No, RSM, that's not how it works. If you make an outlandish contention, such as some of those guys producing the same results as Tom Brady, or that the earth is really flat, the burden of proving you're right is on you. It's not the responsibility of me or the rest of humanity to prove you're not. And I'm sure you know there is no correlation between Wonderlic scores and NFL success as a quarterback. The highest score ever achieved by a QB was by Greg McElroy from Alabama. He scored a 48 out of 50. His NFL career was one start and one mop-up game for the Jets before he washed out. Aaron Rodgers scored a 35, which is quite good, and he's had great success. But do you know who else scored a 35? Matt Leinart. And he was a dud. Peyton Manning scored a 28, which is a middle-of-the-pack score, and he was a truly great quarterback. But Ryan Leaf had a 27, and he was the shits. Two of the lowest scores ever recorded were 16 (by Terry Bradshaw) and 15 (by Dan Marino). Most people would agree those two hall of famers were pretty great quarterbacks.
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MDDad
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Post by MDDad on Feb 1, 2020 13:09:27 GMT -8
I will agree that the name of the game is winning, which by essence means losing should detract from the equation. Joe Montana & Terry Bradshaw made it to 4 Super Bowls each, winning each one. That has put those two QB's in a league of their own. If you disagree, then look at Jim Kelly, who had every bit the talent that those two QB's had and also made it to 4 Super Bowls. However, he is never mentioned in the same sentence with them because he lost in each of those games. Winning counts, but so does losing. So the Patriots gave Tom Brady 9 chances to win a Super Bowl, he was just over 50% with a 6-3 record. Thats good, but not the greatest of all time. It probably puts him in the group with Phil Simms or Steve Young. If he truly was the greatest of all time, he would have won all 9 of those titles. Michael Jordan and Bill Russell gave examples of what being the greatest of all time consists of and Brady falls well short of that.
Further, just because he was in 9 Super Bowls does not qualify him as the greatest of all time. Just ask the Atlanta Braves of the 1990's if getting there but not winning makes a team or person the greatest of all time.That's some of the more bizarre logic I've heard in some time. You claim that leading the Patriots to nine Super Bowls is not evidence that Brady is possibly the greatest of all time. Then you claim the fact that he only won six of those is evidence that he's not. That's Bizarro World double-speak, and I don't think too many people will buy it.
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SK80
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Post by SK80 on Feb 1, 2020 14:06:15 GMT -8
"I don't like Tom Brady because he's crushed my soul too many times."
The defense rests its case.......
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Luca
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Post by Luca on Feb 1, 2020 14:12:33 GMT -8
During the conversations, there were two suppositions. The first was mine that Brady is not an elite athlete and the 2nd that Brady is the GOAT. Brady is a professional athlete in that he can throw a football better than 99% of the human population, but I would not consider that one skill to be the full measure of an athlete. Brady could never really run, can't jump, can't catch (based on the Super bowl against Philly), his elite skills are throwing a ball and reading defenses. Part of the disagreement must be a misunderstanding of the terms in use. You’re right Brady is not an elite athlete in terms of pure athletic ability, including speed, agility, jumping etc. etc. I should have used the term "elite quarterback" rather than "elite athlete." It is possible that had Drew Brees or Peyton Manning been placed on a team with the talent New England has maintained and a coach like Belichick that they would have been even more successful. Similarly successful, we will never know. I suspect not, if only because of Tom Brady's unique durability over 20 years, but who knows? The point is that Brady did accomplish those all time achievments. The other ones might have. That same argument can be used to question a lot of historical conclusions. Abraham Lincoln is widely acknowledged as the greatest of all American presidents. But he served in a very unique time when there were the preconditions for tremendous achievements, unlike the administration of, say, Grover Cleveland. Did Lincoln merely have greatness thrust upon him? You can speculate – again without evidence - that had Cleveland been president in 1860 he would have accomplished the same, but such speculation is as pointless as it is endless. I don’t have any strong feelings one way or the other about Brady, as I’ve never met him. But a friend of my family played with him for several years and knew him very well. Matt Cassell -who is an extraordinarily good man himself - backed him up for a few years in New England and thought very highly of Brady as a person. I think Matt was either Brady’s best man or vice versa. I can’t remember. But he had nothing but nice things to say about him as well as, incidentally, Bill Belichick………………………………………………..Luca
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RSM789
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Post by RSM789 on Feb 1, 2020 19:31:47 GMT -8
I think the most important skill a QB needs to possess is leadership. The absence of it sank guys like Jeff George. Hard to argue with the results from Brady. I don't disagree here, although much of Brady's credibility to be a leader is his relationship with Belichick. That is not meant to be a negative, any QB who has his coaches support immediately has a leg up in the leadership department with the team.
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RSM789
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Post by RSM789 on Feb 1, 2020 19:52:06 GMT -8
...You’re right Brady is not an elite athlete in terms of pure athletic ability, including speed, agility, jumping etc. etc. I should have used the term "elite quarterback" rather than "elite athlete." The point is that Brady did accomplish those all time achievments. The other ones might have. I think we have reached agreement. My original post was about Brady not being an elite athlete. I agree with you that he is an Elite QB, for that takes a different skill set than pure athleticism. And I give credit to him for accomplishing all that he did. Who knows, put Drew Brees in that position, maybe he ends up hating cold weather and washes out of the league in 4 years. The other discussion is the one you & I didn't have. I can't put Brady in the position of GOAT in that his accomplishments were (in my opinion) an extension of the system put in place by Belichick. If Brady was the GOAT, literally the greatest player of all time, why did he only win Super Bowls when Belichick was able to put together really good defenses (start of 2000's & end of 2010's)? Brady helped the team, but was not the irreplaceable reason they won those Super Bowls. The best analogy I can give is Eric Dickerson when he was with the Rams. Many people regarded him as the greatest running back ever, especially since he broke the single season rushing record. I disagree, I think John Robinson's system enhanced him, made an Elite running back (Dickerson) have some of the best statistics ever. Had Walter Payton or Barry Sanders been with the Rams at that time they would have accomplished the same thing. When you can plug Charles Whites into a system and he leads the NFL in yards, you have to credit the system as being partially responsible for the results. I feel the same way as far as Brady and the Pats.
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Bick
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Post by Bick on Feb 1, 2020 19:53:08 GMT -8
I think the most important skill a QB needs to possess is leadership. The absence of it sank guys like Jeff George. Hard to argue with the results from Brady. I don't disagree here, although much of Brady's credibility to be a leader is his relationship with Belichick. That is not meant to be a negative, any QB who has his coaches support immediately has a leg up in the leadership department with the team. Agreed. If he were playing for Mike Tomlin, he'd have 6 less rings, and wouldn't be in the conversation of being the GOAT.
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